It's safe to say we're on a bit of a heater over these last two weeks. After a so-so start to the year, my picks have come alive and are bringing me back to a more respectable record on the year overall.In Week 7 and Week 8, I was a combined 21-8 ATS in my NFL picks, which includes a 9-1 ATS mark in my locks of the week. We were also 22-7 on the Moneyline over that stretch as well. Last week, we ran the table with a 5-0 ATS mark in my locks of the week, which was thanks to the late-game heroics of edging out a win and cover against the in the final seconds.How long will these good vibes run? Who knows? That said, we'll take the wins when we can get them and will look to keep that momentum going as we turn our attention to Week 9, starting with my five locks of the week.Regular seasonLocks of the Week ATS: 20-18-2ATS:59-61-3ML:71-52 I'm a believer in the Seahawks, which is something I thought I'd never say coming into the season. However, Seattle has played well and has Damiere Byrd Jersey been a good bet for us this season (including last week against New York), so let's go back to the well here as they head to Arizona. A large part of their succe s this season has been the play of . He is currently first in the NFL in completion percentage and pa ser rating. What's arguably most impre sive has been Smith's ability to make some tough throws as he's top three in the NFL in pa ser rating 15+ yards down the field, throws outside the numbers, and Margus Hunt Jersey pa sing when pre sured. You match that against an Arizona pa s defense that ranks 23rd in DVOA and Smith should have another strong outing, so taking the points is an easy choice. is also 5-14 SU in his career against the NFC West. Projected score:Seahawks 27, Cardinals 24The pick:Seahawks +2 I've been impre sed with what I've seen from over the last couple of weeks and am excited to see what the addition of may do to further his development. However, I don't think this will be the weekend where he puts the NFL firmly on notice with an upset over the Dolphins. Miami's pa sing offense is as dangerous as any club in the NFL thanks to speedsters and . Meanwhile, is 5-0 SU when he plays a full game this season and leads the NFL in pa ser rating. This potent offense will be too much to handle for a Bears pa s defense that ranks in the middle of the pack in DVOA. When you consider Miami being a top-10 run defense even before the addition of at the deadline, this unit should be able to contain Chicago enough that they clear laying five on the road. The Bears are also 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine home games.Projected score:Dolphins 27, Bears 21The pick:Dolphins -5 Detroit feels like a team knocking on the door of a rebuild after firing its defensive backs coach and trading away in the division at the deadline. The Lions have lost four straight and have Khalil Herbert Jersey failed to cover in their last four games, making them impo sible to trust at the moment, even if we're getting a field goal and a hook at home.In terms of saving this season, you could make the case that the Packers are the more desperate team coming into Week 9 as they cling to playoff relevancy. Even in defeat last Sunday in Buffalo, the Packers were able to move the ball on the ground with and the back has a great history against Detroit. He's the only opponent in franchise history with multiple games of 100+ scrimmage yards and three or more total touchdowns. The Lions also rank 30th in the NFL in DVOA against the run, so this could end up being a huge afternoon for both Jones and . Projected score:Packers 27, Lions 21The pick:Packers -3.5 The Raiders seem lost at the moment after being shut out by the in Week 8. With that in mind, it's quite surprising to see them as a slim road favorite here against the Jaguars. Is it a trap? Probably. I'm taking the cheese anyways and taking the point with Jacksonville. Las Vegas is one of three teams still winle s on the road this season (0-4) and hasn't been a particularly strong bet as a road favorite in his career, owning a 5-12-1 ATS record. That includes a failure to cover in seven straight as a road favorite to go along with just nine touchdowns and 14 interceptions over that stretch.Meanwhile, there's no denying that the Jags have their own problems, but they have started to run the ball effectively with ascending and that should help stabilize the offense for , who'll be playing against the 31st-ranked pa s defense in DVOA.Projected score:Jaguars 24, Raiders 21The pick:Jaguars +1 Both of these teams have failed to meet expectations this season, which robs us of this being a can't-mi s matchup in what Dick Butkus Jersey is a so-so Week 9 slate overall. Neither club has shown an ability to run the football effectively, but I currently trust -- to use that word loosely --the Bucs pa sing attack more than I do the Rams. That is particularly true now that is dealing with an ankle injury. He is expected to play, but it is hard to imagine that he'll be 100% and that could be dire for Los Angeles' offense, especially when going against a Bucs defense that ranks No. 5 in DVOA. So long as Brady can hit his receivers for a couple of big plays, they should be able to clear this game by more than a field goal. That's also not mentioning that L.A. is 0-3 SU and ATS as an underdog this season. Projected score:The pick:Buccaneers -3 at Projected score:Eagles 33, Texans 16The pick:Eagles -14 at Projected score:Chargers 30, Falcons 28The pick:Falcons +3 at Projected score:Bengals 28, Rodney Adams Jersey Panthers 20The pick:Bengals -7Colts at Projected score:Patriots 24, Colts 21The pick:Colts +5.5 at Projected score:Bills 33, Jets 17The pick:Bills -13 at Projected score:Vikings 27, Commanders 21The pick:Vikings -3.5 at Projected score:Chiefs 33, Titans 20The pick:Chiefs -12.5 at SaintsProjected score:Ravens 27, Saints 23The pick:Ravens -3
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